StatsMiniBlog: ROC plots

A (while ago) we published an explanatory page about ROC plots in the Education and Practice journal. There are a few great reasons why we should replicate it here: 1. So people can read it more easily 2. Because it fits into the stuttering series on diagnostics 3. It saves me having to write the […]

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Underpowered and over here.

We’re great fans in the Archimedes blog of trying to get people to think about the meanings and impacts of research, like asking What would Jack want and not believing p-values. One key idea is that of an ‘important clinical difference‘ (see – avoided significantly …) that is essential in working out if a trial is […]

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The Cabin of Dr. Ladhani

Hot on the heels of thinking about thresholds for action and inaction comes a really interesting paper looking at the risk of serious infection in children with blood or CSF cultures taken in the South East of England (in 1m – 15y olds). Before going on – what proportion of cultures do you think were […]

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Springing into action

If you could get a multiplex PCR result back to you within 2 hours that told you your hot, grumpy, 2 month old patient did not have bacteraemia, would you discontinue antibiotics? How sure would you need to be of that result – 95% certain? 98% certain? 99.5% certain? What – in diagnostic analysis speak […]

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Gambling, alcohol and division.

No, not an average afternoon at the Houses of Parliament, but another in our diagnostics series. Moving yourself from looking at the predictive values of the tests as evaluated, to taking this information but using it in the situation you face, is a case of Bayesian mathematics. Which sounds hard. But its absolutely what you […]

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